
This is the article the NFL probably preferred I didn't write.
Sure, I could have done something on this year's MVP award. Pennington or Manning? But honestly, who really cares? Give it to both of them.
Or maybe I could have done an article on all of Monday's fired coaches and why Brian Billick makes the most sense in New York. Perhaps even something on the Pro Bowl being moved from after the Super Bowl to before it.
But my mind's on the Vegas sports books this week. And in those lovely parlors of sin, mischief and grief, a rather curious situation has arisen in regards to this weekend's playoff games.
For the first time, all four of the postseason's opening weekend games feature road favorites. With Atlanta a 2-point favorite over Arizona, Indianapolis giving 1 in San Diego, Baltimore giving 3 points at Miami and the Eagles favored by a field goal in Minnesota, we're looking at an anomaly in the NFL's underworld. Vegas is abuzz.
How rare a scenario is this?
Well, since 2001, only four road teams have been favored in 70 playoff games. According to R.J. Bell of Pregame.com, the odds of seeing four home dogs in one playoff weekend are 93,000 to 1. 93,000 to 1! The Lions had better Super Bowl odds entering this season.
Of course, in a year in which Miami went from 1-15 to AFC East champions, two rookie quarterbacks started 16 games for playoff teams and both the Jets and Buccaneers missed the playoffs after 8-3 starts, nothing should surprise us. 93,000 to 1? That's nothing. After all, the Arizona Cardinals won their division.
Prior to this weekend, the four road teams that were favored in playoff contests since 2001 were Jacksonville at Pittsburgh in '08, Pittsburgh at Cincinnati in '06, New England at Pittsburgh in '05, and Tennessee at Baltimore in '04.
All four squads won those playoff games.
We can talk Vegas and which book has what odds all day, but that's for another time.
The real issue is whether this is a good or bad sign for the league? We waste our collective time and breath moaning over college football's title game process every December, yet here we are on the eve of the NFL playoffs and we have four different games in which the assumed "worse" of the two teams has a homefield advantage. How's that make any sense?
How screwy is the current NFL playoff system, when the 8-8 San Diego Chargers are hosting the 12-4 Indianapolis Colts this weekend?
Road to Super Bowl XLIII
- GameTrax: Inside the matchup
- Team pages: Eagles | Vikings
- First look at: Eagles | Vikings
- Head-to-head: Inside the numbers
- Marvez: McNabb sparked by benching
- NFL on FOX video: PHI-MIN preview
More playoff coverage:
- Schrager: Trippin' on road favorites
- What we know about the playoffs
- PLAYOFF CENTRAL | VIDEO
Shopping:
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Author:Fox Sports
Author's Website:http://www.foxsports.com
Added: January 2, 2009